CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h 84-86% 15.6 ▼ 7.4 82-84% 46.9 ▲ 4.4 <82% 22.1 ▲ 4.1 KD 11.3 ▼ 3.0 86-88% 8.2 ▼ 2.9

Three elections, one day

13 Sept 2026 · polls 08:00–20:00

Only the Riksdag election is priced by betting markets. The region and municipal councils are described from the official count.

Sweden's elections

Sweden elects its 349-seat Riksdag, along with all region and municipal councils, every four years — next on Sunday 13 September 2026.

Last updated:

The 2026 general election

35 markets
Next prime minister after the 2026 election SMagdalena Andersson 88.0%1.14 no poll equivalent · ▲ 0.5 Largest party in the 2026 general election SSwedish Social Democratic Party 100.0%1.00 no poll equivalent · ▲ 0.9 Second-largest party in the 2026 general election MModerate Party 99.2%1.01 no poll equivalent · ▲ 0.2 Third-largest party in the 2026 general election SDSweden Democrats 98.9%1.01 no poll equivalent · - 0.0 Tidö majority in the 2026 general election ?Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? 3.4%29.85 1 venue only · ▼ 1.5 Liberals win seats in the 2026 general election LLiberals 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · ▲ 0.2 SD or M More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election MModerate Party 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 V or MP More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election VLeft Party 99.8%1.00 1 venue only · ▼ 0.1 V or C More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election VLeft Party 99.8%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 V or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election VLeft Party 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 MP or C More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election CCentre Party 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 MP or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election KDChristian Democrats 60.0%1.67 1 venue only · ▲ 2.0 C or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election CCentre Party 99.9%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election VLeft Party 13.6%7.36 no poll equivalent · ▲ 0.2 Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election CCentre Party 6.8%14.60 1 venue only · - 0.0 Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election KDChristian Democrats 5.8%17.17 1 venue only · - 0.0 Turnout in the 2026 Riksdag election ?82-84% 46.9%2.13 1 venue only · ▲ 4.4 S's margin of victory in the 2026 Riksdag election ?S 7-10% 89.9%1.11 1 venue only · ▼ 1.8 S over/under 31% in the 2026 general election ?Under 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 SD Over or Under 19% in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?Under 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 M Over/Under 17% in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?Over 99.6%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 V over/under 7% in the 2026 Riksdag election ?Over 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 MP over/under 7% in the 2026 general election ?Under 99.5%1.01 1 venue only · - 0.0 KD Over/Under 6% in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?Over 94.0%1.06 1 venue only · ▼ 0.1 S's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?27-30% 99.8%1.00 1 venue only · ▲ 0.7 SD's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?16-18% 98.5%1.02 1 venue only · ▼ 1.0 M's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?18-20% 93.3%1.07 1 venue only · ▼ 1.0 Left Party (V) Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?7-9% 99.6%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 MP's Vote Share in the 2026 General Election ?5-7% 99.3%1.01 1 venue only · ▼ 0.1 Centre Party's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?7-9% 83.6%1.20 1 venue only · ▲ 0.1 KD's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?5-7% 99.1%1.01 1 venue only · ▼ 0.1 S Seat Count in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?<105 99.7%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 C over/under 6% in the 2026 general election ?Over 100.0%1.00 1 venue only · - 0.0 Örebropartiet Win Seats in the 2026 Riksdag Election ?Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? 0.7%153.85 1 venue only · ▲ 0.2 Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election MPGreen Party 72.2%1.39 1 venue only · ▲ 2.4

How Swedish elections work

Riksdag elections are held every four years, on the second Sunday in September. The same day always carries three elections at once: the Riksdag election (national), the region elections to the region councils, and the municipal elections to the municipal councils. The Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) administers the elections nationally, the county administrative boards are responsible for the final count in their own county, and the country's municipalities run polling stations and vote reception locally.

Who can vote

Swedish citizens who turn 18 by election day and are, or have been, registered as resident in Sweden are eligible to vote in the Riksdag election. Candidates must themselves be eligible to vote and be nominated by a party, having consented to candidacy in advance. Swedish citizens living abroad may vote by post or in person at an embassy or consulate.

How the 349 seats are distributed

The Riksdag has 349 seats: 310 fixed constituency seats and 39 adjustment seats, allocated to make national representation as proportional as possible. A party needs 4% of the vote nationally to enter the Riksdag, or 12% of the vote within a single constituency to win seats in that constituency alone. Seats are allocated using the adjusted odd numbers method across 29 constituencies, mainly coterminous with counties — Stockholm, Skåne and Västra Götaland are each divided into several. Stockholm County was the largest constituency after the 2022 election, with 43 members; Gotland, with 2, was the smallest. A candidate can also win a seat directly by personal vote, which requires at least 5% of their party's ballots in the constituency.

Thresholds in the region and municipal elections

The thresholds are lower outside the Riksdag. A party needs 3% of the vote in the region to enter a region council. For a municipal council the threshold depends on how the municipality is organised: 3% in municipalities divided into constituencies, and 2% in municipalities that are not. A personal vote for a region council also requires at least 100 votes, and for a municipal council at least 50.

Sources