CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h L 100.0 ▲ 0.2

Will the Liberals win seats in the 2026 Riksdag election?

Polymarket prices the probability that the Liberals win seats in the general election at 100.0% as of 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
100.0%
Liberals ▲ 0.2 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
LLiberals Probability 100.0% Odds 1.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket100.0%100.0%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%8 Sep15 Sep100%
Liberals — — 100.0%
OutcomeObservedProbability
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals100.0%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.9%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.8%
Liberals99.7%
Liberals99.7%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.1%
Liberals99.1%
Liberals99.1%
Liberals99.1%
Liberals99.1%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.6%
Liberals99.5%
Liberals99.5%
Liberals99.5%
Liberals99.5%
Liberals99.5%
Liberals98.6%
Liberals98.5%
Liberals98.2%
Liberals97.2%
Liberals97.1%
Liberals97.2%
Liberals97.2%
Liberals97.7%
Liberals96.4%
Liberals95.4%
Liberals84.6%
Liberals84.8%
Liberals84.8%
Liberals84.7%
Liberals84.5%
Liberals84.4%
Liberals84.4%
Liberals83.9%
Liberals84.2%
Liberals84.0%
Liberals84.2%
Liberals85.5%
Liberals83.5%
Liberals83.6%
Liberals83.6%
Liberals83.6%
Liberals83.6%
Liberals83.5%
Liberals83.5%
Liberals83.5%
Liberals83.4%
Liberals83.4%
Liberals83.4%
Liberals83.4%
Liberals83.4%
Liberals82.5%
Liberals82.5%
Liberals82.5%
Liberals82.5%
Liberals82.2%
Liberals82.2%
Liberals84.4%
Liberals84.5%
Liberals84.4%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.1%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.0%
Liberals86.0%
Liberals86.0%
Liberals85.9%
Liberals85.9%
Liberals85.9%
Liberals85.9%
Liberals86.0%
Liberals86.1%
Liberals87.8%
Liberals87.8%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals87.9%
Liberals87.9%
Liberals88.0%
Liberals88.0%
Liberals88.0%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.3%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.7%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals87.0%
Liberals85.5%
Liberals85.6%
Liberals85.7%
Liberals86.4%
Liberals86.4%
Liberals86.4%
Liberals86.4%
Liberals86.4%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.7%
Liberals86.7%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.7%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals87.9%
Liberals88.2%
Liberals88.1%
Liberals88.5%
Liberals88.4%
Liberals88.3%
Liberals88.4%
Liberals88.8%
Liberals88.7%
Liberals89.1%
Liberals89.5%
Liberals89.5%
Liberals88.8%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.7%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.8%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.6%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals85.9%
Liberals87.6%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.5%
Liberals86.2%
Liberals86.3%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals87.2%
Liberals87.2%
Liberals87.2%
Liberals87.3%
Liberals87.2%
Liberals87.2%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals88.5%
Liberals88.8%
Liberals88.0%
Liberals85.0%
Liberals87.3%
Liberals88.3%
Liberals88.5%
Liberals88.6%
Liberals82.6%
Liberals82.5%
Liberals82.4%
Liberals84.1%
Liberals81.7%
Liberals82.9%
Liberals82.9%
Liberals81.8%
Liberals82.9%
Liberals80.8%
Liberals81.6%
Liberals81.8%
Liberals81.9%
Liberals81.9%
Liberals81.9%
Liberals84.0%
Liberals85.6%
Liberals83.8%
Liberals84.8%
Liberals89.5%
Liberals89.2%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals86.9%
Liberals87.1%
Liberals93.5%
Liberals87.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals73.0%
Liberals73.0%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals71.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.5%
Liberals72.0%
Liberals72.0%
Liberals72.0%
Liberals72.0%
Liberals72.0%
Liberals73.5%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals73.0%
Liberals73.5%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals78.5%
Liberals78.5%
Liberals79.0%
Liberals79.0%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals80.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals77.5%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals77.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.5%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals75.0%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals76.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals70.5%
Liberals71.0%
Liberals70.0%
Liberals69.5%
Liberals69.0%
Liberals69.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals74.0%
Liberals73.5%
Liberals74.5%
Liberals73.5%
Liberals76.5%
Liberals76.5%
Liberals70.5%
Liberals63.5%
Liberals61.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals59.0%
Liberals60.0%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals58.0%
Liberals58.0%
Liberals58.5%
Liberals60.0%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.0%
Liberals60.0%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.5%
Liberals60.0%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%
Liberals59.5%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

The market resolves Yes if the Liberals are allocated at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag following the election on 13 September 2026.

The market resolves No if the Liberals are allocated no seats in the Riksdag.

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