CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h <82% 17.9 ▼ 13.9 82-84% 50.9 ▲ 13.7 M 11.0 ▼ 4.6 S 87.6 ▲ 3.8 KD 11.3 ▼ 3.0
S

Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson is priced at 87.6% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the general election on 13 September 2026, in the consensus of Polymarket and Kalshi on 15 September 2026. She was born on 23 January 1967 and leads the Swedish Social Democratic Party.

Last updated:

Next prime minister after the 2026 election
87.6%
Consensus of 2 sources ▲ 3.8 in 24h

About

Party
Swedish Social Democratic Party
Born

Open markets

MarketProbabilityShare as barSource
Next prime minister after the 2026 election 87.6% Consensus of 2 sources

Last observed:

Swedish Social Democratic Party's markets

MarketProbabilityShare as barSource
Largest party in the 2026 general election 100.0% Consensus of 2 sources
Second-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.1% Consensus of 2 sources
Third-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.2% Consensus of 2 sources
Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.7% Consensus of 2 sources
Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.0% Polymarket
Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election 0.0% Polymarket
Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.9% Kalshi

Last observed:

Other candidates

About the odds

The consensus figure is a volume-weighted average of de-vigged odds from the sources pricing this outcome. The poll average is never included.