CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h KD 60.0 ▲ 2.0 MP 40.0 ▼ 2.0

MP or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election

Polymarket currently prices MP at 60.0% to win more votes than KD, as of 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
60.0%
Christian Democrats ▲ 2.0 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
KDChristian Democrats Probability 60.0% Odds 1.67 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket60.0%60.0%
MPGreen Party Probability 40.0% Odds 2.50 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket40.0%40.0%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%8 Sep15 Sep60%
Green Party — — 40.0%
OutcomeObservedProbability
Green Party40.0%
Christian Democrats60.0%
Green Party40.0%
Christian Democrats60.0%
Green Party40.0%
Christian Democrats60.0%
Green Party40.0%
Christian Democrats60.0%
Green Party40.0%
Christian Democrats60.0%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party40.5%
Christian Democrats59.5%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party41.5%
Christian Democrats58.5%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.0%
Christian Democrats57.0%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party43.5%
Christian Democrats56.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party47.5%
Christian Democrats52.5%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party28.5%
Christian Democrats71.5%
Green Party27.0%
Christian Democrats73.0%
Green Party27.5%
Christian Democrats72.5%
Green Party27.0%
Christian Democrats73.0%
Green Party11.0%
Christian Democrats89.0%
Green Party11.0%
Christian Democrats89.0%
Green Party11.5%
Christian Democrats88.5%
Green Party10.5%
Christian Democrats89.5%
Green Party25.5%
Christian Democrats74.5%
Green Party26.5%
Christian Democrats73.5%
Green Party26.5%
Christian Democrats73.5%
Green Party25.5%
Christian Democrats74.5%
Green Party25.5%
Christian Democrats74.5%
Green Party25.5%
Christian Democrats74.5%
Green Party24.5%
Christian Democrats75.5%
Green Party24.5%
Christian Democrats75.5%
Green Party24.5%
Christian Democrats75.5%
Green Party24.5%
Christian Democrats75.5%
Green Party25.5%
Christian Democrats74.5%
Green Party34.5%
Christian Democrats65.5%
Green Party46.0%
Christian Democrats54.0%
Green Party46.5%
Christian Democrats53.5%
Green Party46.5%
Christian Democrats53.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party77.0%
Christian Democrats23.0%
Green Party77.0%
Christian Democrats23.0%
Green Party77.0%
Christian Democrats23.0%
Green Party77.0%
Christian Democrats23.0%
Green Party46.5%
Christian Democrats53.5%
Green Party46.5%
Christian Democrats53.5%
Green Party48.0%
Christian Democrats52.0%
Green Party50.5%
Christian Democrats49.5%
Green Party50.5%
Christian Democrats49.5%
Green Party50.5%
Christian Democrats49.5%
Green Party50.5%
Christian Democrats49.5%
Green Party50.5%
Christian Democrats49.5%
Green Party49.5%
Christian Democrats50.5%
Green Party42.5%
Christian Democrats57.5%
Green Party42.5%
Christian Democrats57.5%
Green Party42.5%
Christian Democrats57.5%
Green Party42.0%
Christian Democrats58.0%
Green Party41.5%
Christian Democrats58.5%
Green Party41.0%
Christian Democrats59.0%
Green Party55.0%
Christian Democrats45.0%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party67.5%
Christian Democrats32.5%
Green Party67.5%
Christian Democrats32.5%
Green Party67.5%
Christian Democrats32.5%
Green Party67.5%
Christian Democrats32.5%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party64.5%
Christian Democrats35.5%
Green Party64.5%
Christian Democrats35.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party63.0%
Christian Democrats37.0%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party62.0%
Christian Democrats38.0%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party56.0%
Christian Democrats44.0%
Green Party56.5%
Christian Democrats43.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party54.0%
Christian Democrats46.0%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party55.5%
Christian Democrats44.5%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party53.0%
Christian Democrats47.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party50.0%
Christian Democrats50.0%
Green Party49.5%
Christian Democrats50.5%
Green Party49.5%
Christian Democrats50.5%
Green Party49.5%
Christian Democrats50.5%
Green Party27.5%
Christian Democrats72.5%
Green Party27.5%
Christian Democrats72.5%
Green Party28.5%
Christian Democrats71.5%
Green Party28.5%
Christian Democrats71.5%
Green Party29.5%
Christian Democrats70.5%
Green Party29.5%
Christian Democrats70.5%
Green Party29.5%
Christian Democrats70.5%
Green Party30.5%
Christian Democrats69.5%
Green Party30.5%
Christian Democrats69.5%
Green Party20.0%
Christian Democrats80.0%
Green Party24.0%
Christian Democrats76.0%
Green Party27.5%
Christian Democrats72.5%
Green Party33.0%
Christian Democrats67.0%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party59.5%
Christian Democrats40.5%
Green Party60.5%
Christian Democrats39.5%
Green Party60.5%
Christian Democrats39.5%
Green Party61.5%
Christian Democrats38.5%
Green Party61.5%
Christian Democrats38.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party62.5%
Christian Democrats37.5%
Green Party64.0%
Christian Democrats36.0%
Green Party64.0%
Christian Democrats36.0%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party63.5%
Christian Democrats36.5%
Green Party65.5%
Christian Democrats34.5%
Green Party67.0%
Christian Democrats33.0%
Green Party67.0%
Christian Democrats33.0%
Green Party68.5%
Christian Democrats31.5%
Green Party68.5%
Christian Democrats31.5%
Green Party70.0%
Christian Democrats30.0%
Green Party70.0%
Christian Democrats30.0%
Green Party70.0%
Christian Democrats30.0%
Green Party71.5%
Christian Democrats28.5%
Green Party71.5%
Christian Democrats28.5%
Green Party71.5%
Christian Democrats28.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party82.0%
Christian Democrats18.0%
Green Party81.5%
Christian Democrats18.5%
Green Party81.5%
Christian Democrats18.5%
Green Party81.0%
Christian Democrats19.0%
Green Party78.5%
Christian Democrats21.5%
Green Party78.0%
Christian Democrats22.0%
Green Party77.5%
Christian Democrats22.5%
Green Party77.0%
Christian Democrats23.0%
Green Party76.5%
Christian Democrats23.5%
Green Party76.5%
Christian Democrats23.5%
Green Party77.5%
Christian Democrats22.5%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party78.5%
Christian Democrats21.5%
Green Party78.5%
Christian Democrats21.5%
Green Party78.5%
Christian Democrats21.5%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party80.0%
Christian Democrats20.0%
Green Party80.0%
Christian Democrats20.0%
Green Party80.0%
Christian Democrats20.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party79.0%
Christian Democrats21.0%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party86.0%
Christian Democrats14.0%
Green Party86.0%
Christian Democrats14.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party84.5%
Christian Democrats15.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party86.0%
Christian Democrats14.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party83.5%
Christian Democrats16.5%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party87.5%
Christian Democrats12.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party83.0%
Christian Democrats17.0%
Green Party86.0%
Christian Democrats14.0%
Green Party85.5%
Christian Democrats14.5%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%
Green Party85.0%
Christian Democrats15.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party84.0%
Christian Democrats16.0%
Green Party87.0%
Christian Democrats13.0%
Green Party82.5%
Christian Democrats17.5%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

The market resolves based on which party, the Green Party (MP) or the Christian Democrats (KD), wins more valid votes in the general election.

If both parties receive exactly the same number of valid votes, the market resolves 50-50.

Only votes that the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) attributes to the respective party count. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations do not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.

If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest it separately, the market resolves 50-50.

If the election result is not definitively known by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.

The market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting on the election result. Where there is ambiguity, it resolves solely based on the official results from the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, val.se).

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