MP or C More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
Polymarket puts the probability of MP winning more votes at 100.0% as of 15 September 2026.
Last updated:
Leading outcome
100.0%
Centre Party - 0.0 in 24h
Odds
Outcome
Probability
Odds
Spread
Spread (pts)
CCentre Party Probability 100.0% Odds 1.00 Spread — Spread (pts) — ▾
Sources1 — Polymarket only
| Platform | Implied | De-vigged | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 100.0% | 100.0% |
MPGreen Party Probability 0.1% Odds 2000.00 Spread — Spread (pts) — ▾
Sources1 — Polymarket only
| Platform | Implied | De-vigged | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Fresh — Odds updated: — Methodology
Odds over time
The price over time, one line per outcome.
Green Party — — 0.1%
| Outcome | Observed | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 0.1% | |
| Centre Party | 100.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.1% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 13.5% | |
| Centre Party | 86.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 44.4% | |
| Centre Party | 55.6% | |
| Green Party | 0.5% | |
| Centre Party | 99.5% | |
| Green Party | 0.6% | |
| Centre Party | 99.5% | |
| Green Party | 0.5% | |
| Centre Party | 99.5% | |
| Green Party | 0.6% | |
| Centre Party | 99.5% | |
| Green Party | 0.5% | |
| Centre Party | 99.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 49.5% | |
| Centre Party | 50.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 25.0% | |
| Centre Party | 75.0% | |
| Green Party | 25.0% | |
| Centre Party | 75.0% | |
| Green Party | 25.0% | |
| Centre Party | 75.0% | |
| Green Party | 25.0% | |
| Centre Party | 75.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.5% | |
| Centre Party | 78.5% | |
| Green Party | 21.5% | |
| Centre Party | 78.5% | |
| Green Party | 21.5% | |
| Centre Party | 78.5% | |
| Green Party | 21.5% | |
| Centre Party | 78.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.5% | |
| Centre Party | 78.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 19.0% | |
| Centre Party | 81.0% | |
| Green Party | 19.0% | |
| Centre Party | 81.0% | |
| Green Party | 19.0% | |
| Centre Party | 81.0% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 19.5% | |
| Centre Party | 80.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.0% | |
| Centre Party | 78.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 23.0% | |
| Centre Party | 77.0% | |
| Green Party | 23.0% | |
| Centre Party | 77.0% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 23.5% | |
| Centre Party | 76.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 22.5% | |
| Centre Party | 77.5% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.0% | |
| Centre Party | 80.0% | |
| Green Party | 20.5% | |
| Centre Party | 79.5% | |
| Green Party | 20.5% | |
| Centre Party | 79.5% | |
| Green Party | 20.5% | |
| Centre Party | 79.5% | |
| Green Party | 20.5% | |
| Centre Party | 79.5% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 21.0% | |
| Centre Party | 79.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.0% | |
| Centre Party | 53.0% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 49.0% | |
| Centre Party | 51.0% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 51.0% | |
| Centre Party | 49.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 54.5% | |
| Centre Party | 45.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 49.0% | |
| Centre Party | 51.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 46.5% | |
| Centre Party | 53.5% | |
| Green Party | 46.5% | |
| Centre Party | 53.5% | |
| Green Party | 46.5% | |
| Centre Party | 53.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 46.0% | |
| Centre Party | 54.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 28.5% | |
| Centre Party | 71.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.0% | |
| Centre Party | 55.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.5% | |
| Centre Party | 55.5% | |
| Green Party | 46.0% | |
| Centre Party | 54.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 47.5% | |
| Centre Party | 52.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.5% | |
| Centre Party | 49.5% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 50.0% | |
| Centre Party | 50.0% | |
| Green Party | 49.5% | |
| Centre Party | 50.5% | |
| Green Party | 49.5% | |
| Centre Party | 50.5% | |
| Green Party | 49.5% | |
| Centre Party | 50.5% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 40.0% | |
| Centre Party | 60.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 46.5% | |
| Centre Party | 53.5% | |
| Green Party | 44.0% | |
| Centre Party | 56.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 41.5% | |
| Centre Party | 58.5% | |
| Green Party | 48.0% | |
| Centre Party | 52.0% | |
| Green Party | 45.5% | |
| Centre Party | 54.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.0% | |
| Centre Party | 53.0% | |
| Green Party | 47.0% | |
| Centre Party | 53.0% | |
| Green Party | 46.5% | |
| Centre Party | 53.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.5% | |
| Centre Party | 56.5% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% | |
| Green Party | 43.0% | |
| Centre Party | 57.0% |
Other markets in this election
- Next prime minister after the 2026 election
- Largest party in the 2026 general election
- Second-largest party in the 2026 general election
- Third-largest party in the 2026 general election
- Tidö majority in the 2026 general election
- Liberals win seats in the 2026 general election
- SD or M More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- V or MP More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- V or C More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- V or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- MP or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- C or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election
- Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election
- Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- Turnout in the 2026 Riksdag election
- S's margin of victory in the 2026 Riksdag election
- S over/under 31% in the 2026 general election
- SD Over or Under 19% in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- M Over/Under 17% in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- V over/under 7% in the 2026 Riksdag election
- MP over/under 7% in the 2026 general election
- KD Over/Under 6% in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- S's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- SD's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- M's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- Left Party (V) Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- MP's Vote Share in the 2026 General Election
- Centre Party's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- KD's Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- S Seat Count in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- C over/under 6% in the 2026 general election
- Örebropartiet Win Seats in the 2026 Riksdag Election
- Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election
About the odds
How this question resolves
The market settles on which party, the Green Party (MP) or the Centre Party (C), wins more valid votes in the parliamentary election.
If both parties receive exactly the same number of valid votes, the market resolves 50-50.
Only votes that the Swedish Election Authority attributes to the named parties count. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations do not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the market resolves 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50.
The market settles based on a consensus of credible reporting, and where there is ambiguity, based solely on the official results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, val.se).