CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h <82% 17.9 ▼ 13.9 82-84% 50.9 ▲ 13.7 M 11.0 ▼ 4.6 S 87.6 ▲ 3.8 KD 11.3 ▼ 3.0
L

Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson, born 27 December 1994, leads the Liberals and is priced at 0.1% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the general election on 13 September 2026, in the consensus of Polymarket and Kalshi on 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Next prime minister after the 2026 election
0.1%
Polymarket ▲ 0.1 in 24h

About

Party
Liberals
Born

Open markets

MarketProbabilityShare as barSource
Next prime minister after the 2026 election 0.1% Polymarket

Last observed:

Liberals' markets

MarketProbabilityShare as barSource
Largest party in the 2026 general election 0.0% Polymarket
Second-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.4% Consensus of 2 sources
Third-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.3% Consensus of 2 sources
Liberals win seats in the 2026 general election 100.0% Polymarket
Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.3% Consensus of 2 sources
Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.0% Polymarket
Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election 0.0% Polymarket
Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.9% Kalshi

Last observed:

Other candidates

About the odds

The consensus figure is a volume-weighted average of de-vigged odds from the sources pricing this outcome. The poll average is never included.