About candidatecasino.com
candidatecasino.com is a permanent, public archive of election betting odds and prediction-market prices, with analysis posts that put the numbers in context, built to keep growing election by election and country by country.
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What this is
candidatecasino.com collects prices from prediction markets and betting venues, normalises them into comparable probabilities, and sets them against official polling and results. The site keeps its history permanently — published pages are never deleted, and a URL never moves.
Why it exists
Most places that show election odds show a single venue's number without explaining what it means or how it was calculated, and rarely keep the history once an election is over. candidatecasino.com is built to do both: publish the methodology openly (see the methodology page) and keep the archive permanently.
What it covers now
The site is in a beta phase focused on the Swedish elections of 13 September 2026 — the Riksdag election, and every region and municipal election held the same day. The Riksdag election has active markets on Polymarket and Kalshi; the region and municipal elections have no betting markets and are instead described with reference material on how they work.
What it intends to cover
The goal is every country and election where a prediction market or betting venue prices an outcome, with the US midterms of 3 November 2026 as the next major step after the Swedish beta.
More than the numbers
The site isn't only a technical data source. The analysis posts explain what's behind a market's move, put new polling in context, and highlight the changes that actually matter as the election approaches — see the analysis section.
Who writes it
The analysis is written by several contributors, but everything is published under candidatecasino.com rather than under individual names. The odds figures shown always come from deterministic code, never hand-adjusted — see the methodology page.