CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h M 100.0 - 0.0 SD 0.1 ▲ 0.1

SD or M More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election

As of 15 September 2026, the market priced the probability that the Sweden Democrats (SD) win more votes than the Moderate Party (M) in the 2026 Riksdag election at 100.0%.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
100.0%
Moderate Party - 0.0 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
MModerate Party Probability 100.0% Odds 1.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket100.0%100.0%
SDSweden Democrats Probability 0.1% Odds 2000.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.1%0.1%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%8 Sep15 Sep100%
Sweden Democrats — — 0.1%
OutcomeObservedProbability
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party100.0%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.2%
Moderate Party99.8%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats0.1%
Moderate Party99.9%
Sweden Democrats1.0%
Moderate Party99.0%
Sweden Democrats1.0%
Moderate Party99.0%
Sweden Democrats1.0%
Moderate Party99.0%
Sweden Democrats1.0%
Moderate Party99.0%
Sweden Democrats1.2%
Moderate Party98.8%
Sweden Democrats1.0%
Moderate Party99.0%
Sweden Democrats2.1%
Moderate Party97.9%
Sweden Democrats14.0%
Moderate Party86.0%
Sweden Democrats21.5%
Moderate Party78.5%
Sweden Democrats29.5%
Moderate Party70.5%
Sweden Democrats33.0%
Moderate Party67.0%
Sweden Democrats32.5%
Moderate Party67.5%
Sweden Democrats47.0%
Moderate Party53.0%
Sweden Democrats48.5%
Moderate Party51.5%
Sweden Democrats82.5%
Moderate Party17.5%
Sweden Democrats82.5%
Moderate Party17.5%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats79.0%
Moderate Party21.0%
Sweden Democrats79.0%
Moderate Party21.0%
Sweden Democrats79.0%
Moderate Party21.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats78.5%
Moderate Party21.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats83.5%
Moderate Party16.5%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats84.0%
Moderate Party16.0%
Sweden Democrats83.5%
Moderate Party16.5%
Sweden Democrats83.5%
Moderate Party16.5%
Sweden Democrats83.5%
Moderate Party16.5%
Sweden Democrats83.0%
Moderate Party17.0%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats80.0%
Moderate Party20.0%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats80.5%
Moderate Party19.5%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats76.5%
Moderate Party23.5%
Sweden Democrats77.0%
Moderate Party23.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats81.5%
Moderate Party18.5%
Sweden Democrats81.0%
Moderate Party19.0%
Sweden Democrats78.0%
Moderate Party22.0%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats77.5%
Moderate Party22.5%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%
Sweden Democrats82.0%
Moderate Party18.0%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

The market settles on which party, SD or M, wins more valid votes in the election.

If SD and M receive exactly the same number of valid votes, the market resolves 50-50.

Only votes the Swedish Election Authority attributes to each respective party count; votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations do not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.

If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the market resolves 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.

The market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting on the results; where ambiguous, it resolves solely on the official results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (val.se).

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