CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h Over 100.0 - 0.0 Under 0.1 ▲ 0.1

C over/under 6% in the 2026 general election

Polymarket now prices 100.0% for the Centre Party (C) reaching at least 6% of the vote in the general election, as of data observed 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
100.0%
Over - 0.0 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
Over Probability 100.0% Odds 1.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket100.0%100.0%
Under Probability 0.1% Odds 2000.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.1%0.1%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%10 Sep15 Sep100%
Under — — 0.1%
OutcomeObservedProbability
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under6.2%
Over93.8%
Under6.9%
Over93.1%
Under7.8%
Over92.2%
Under8.8%
Over91.2%
Under4.9%
Over95.1%
Under5.6%
Over94.4%
Under6.3%
Over93.7%
Under7.7%
Over92.3%
Under8.6%
Over91.4%
Under10.4%
Over89.5%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under4.8%
Over95.2%
Under4.8%
Over95.2%
Under4.8%
Over95.2%
Under5.1%
Over95.0%
Under6.6%
Over93.4%
Under9.4%
Over90.5%
Under9.2%
Over90.8%
Under5.4%
Over94.6%
Under8.5%
Over91.5%
Under10.2%
Over89.8%
Under6.3%
Over93.7%
Under9.7%
Over90.3%
Under3.3%
Over96.7%
Under6.9%
Over93.1%
Under4.0%
Over96.0%
Under7.0%
Over93.0%
Under10.1%
Over90.0%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under9.0%
Over91.0%
Under10.0%
Over90.0%
Under9.8%
Over90.1%
Under10.5%
Over89.5%
Under10.9%
Over89.0%
Under11.0%
Over89.0%
Under8.5%
Over91.5%
Under11.0%
Over89.0%
Under8.5%
Over91.5%
Under9.5%
Over90.5%
Under8.5%
Over91.5%
Under11.5%
Over88.5%
Under9.5%
Over90.5%
Under11.5%
Over88.5%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under14.0%
Over86.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under14.0%
Over86.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.0%
Over87.0%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under13.5%
Over86.5%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under18.5%
Over81.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under18.0%
Over82.0%
Under18.0%
Over82.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under14.0%
Over86.0%
Under14.0%
Over86.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under14.5%
Over85.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under18.0%
Over82.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under18.5%
Over81.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.0%
Over84.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under15.0%
Over85.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under18.5%
Over81.5%
Under19.0%
Over81.0%
Under17.0%
Over83.0%
Under19.0%
Over81.0%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under15.5%
Over84.5%
Under16.5%
Over83.5%
Under17.5%
Over82.5%
Under18.0%
Over82.0%
Under18.0%
Over82.0%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

The market settles on the share of valid votes the Centre Party (C) receives in the 2026 general election.

It resolves "Over" if C wins at least 6% of the valid votes, and "Under" if C wins less than 6%.

Only vote shares the Swedish Election Authority attributes to the Centre Party count. Shares attributed to other parties or electoral designations do not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.

If the Centre Party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the successor party's vote share counts instead.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50.

The market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting; where ambiguous, it resolves on the Swedish Election Authority's (Valmyndigheten) official results (val.se) instead.

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