CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h 7-9% 99.6 - 0.0 5-7% 0.2 - 0.0 9%+ 0.1 - 0.0 <5% 0.1 - 0.0

Left Party (V) Vote Share in the 2026 Riksdag Election

The market gives the bracket a 99.6% probability as of 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
99.6%
7-9% - 0.0 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
7-9% Probability 99.6% Odds 1.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket99.2%99.6%
5-7% Probability 0.2% Odds 498.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.2%0.2%
9%+ Probability 0.1% Odds 996.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.1%0.1%
<5% Probability 0.1% Odds 1992.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.1%0.1%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%10 Sep15 Sep100%5-7%9%+<5%
<5% — — 0.1%
OutcomeObservedProbability
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.7%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.1%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.5%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.5%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
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5-7%0.2%
<5%0.1%
9%+0.2%
7-9%99.6%
5-7%0.2%
<5%1.6%
9%+1.7%
7-9%94.4%
5-7%2.3%
<5%1.2%
9%+1.6%
7-9%94.9%
5-7%2.3%
<5%1.4%
9%+1.4%
7-9%94.8%
5-7%2.4%
<5%1.2%
9%+1.7%
7-9%94.5%
5-7%2.6%
<5%1.3%
9%+1.3%
7-9%94.8%
5-7%2.6%
<5%1.1%
9%+1.7%
7-9%95.0%
5-7%2.2%
<5%1.3%
9%+1.6%
7-9%94.8%
5-7%2.3%
<5%1.5%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.1%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.7%
5-7%2.0%
<5%1.0%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.5%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.7%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.7%
5-7%2.0%
<5%1.4%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.1%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.6%
5-7%2.0%
<5%1.3%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.3%
5-7%2.0%
<5%1.5%
9%+1.6%
7-9%94.9%
5-7%2.0%
<5%1.4%
9%+1.5%
7-9%95.1%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+2.1%
7-9%95.0%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.7%
7-9%95.4%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.7%
9%+2.0%
7-9%94.3%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.8%
9%+2.0%
7-9%94.1%
5-7%2.1%
<5%0.8%
9%+2.1%
7-9%95.0%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.3%
9%+2.0%
7-9%94.5%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.7%
9%+2.1%
7-9%94.1%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.7%
9%+2.1%
7-9%94.1%
5-7%2.1%
<5%1.2%
9%+2.0%
7-9%94.7%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.9%
7-9%95.1%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.8%
9%+2.2%
7-9%94.8%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.8%
7-9%95.2%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.8%
9%+1.8%
7-9%95.1%
5-7%2.2%
<5%1.5%
9%+2.1%
7-9%94.2%
5-7%2.2%
<5%1.5%
9%+2.0%
7-9%94.3%
5-7%2.2%
<5%2.6%
9%+1.8%
7-9%93.4%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.8%
9%+2.2%
7-9%94.9%
5-7%2.2%
<5%1.9%
9%+2.1%
7-9%93.8%
5-7%2.2%
<5%0.4%
9%+2.0%
7-9%96.1%
5-7%1.4%
<5%0.4%
9%+2.0%
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5-7%1.6%
<5%0.4%
9%+2.6%
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5-7%1.6%
<5%0.5%
9%+2.7%
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5-7%1.8%
<5%0.4%
9%+2.6%
7-9%92.0%
5-7%5.0%
<5%0.5%
9%+2.5%
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5-7%1.5%
<5%0.5%
9%+2.5%
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5-7%1.5%
<5%0.5%
9%+2.5%
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5-7%1.5%
<5%0.4%
9%+3.6%
7-9%94.5%
5-7%1.4%
<5%0.5%
9%+3.6%
7-9%94.5%
5-7%1.5%
<5%0.4%
9%+3.7%
7-9%94.4%
5-7%1.4%
<5%0.5%
9%+3.4%
7-9%94.7%
5-7%1.5%
<5%0.4%
9%+3.6%
7-9%94.4%
5-7%1.6%
<5%0.4%
9%+3.5%
7-9%94.3%
5-7%1.7%
<5%0.4%
9%+3.1%
7-9%94.6%
5-7%1.8%
<5%0.4%
9%+2.8%
7-9%94.8%
5-7%2.0%
<5%0.4%
9%+4.8%
7-9%89.9%
5-7%4.8%
<5%0.4%
9%+4.7%
7-9%89.6%
5-7%5.2%
<5%0.6%
9%+4.5%
7-9%84.7%
5-7%10.2%
<5%0.6%
9%+3.2%
7-9%84.3%
5-7%11.9%
<5%0.7%
9%+5.5%
7-9%67.7%
5-7%26.1%
<5%0.7%
9%+6.9%
7-9%61.6%
5-7%30.8%
<5%0.7%
9%+6.6%
7-9%60.9%
5-7%31.8%
<5%1.1%
9%+6.2%
7-9%60.8%
5-7%31.9%
<5%1.1%
9%+6.2%
7-9%61.1%
5-7%31.6%
<5%1.1%
9%+6.1%
7-9%61.0%
5-7%31.8%
<5%1.2%
9%+6.6%
7-9%57.9%
5-7%34.2%
<5%7.2%
9%+6.3%
7-9%27.4%
5-7%59.0%
<5%5.8%
9%+7.0%
7-9%35.7%
5-7%51.5%
<5%5.5%
9%+7.0%
7-9%35.8%
5-7%51.7%
<5%1.4%
9%+6.8%
7-9%46.4%
5-7%45.4%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.3%
7-9%46.9%
5-7%44.4%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.8%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.4%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.8%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%43.7%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.7%
7-9%46.9%
5-7%44.0%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.8%
7-9%46.4%
5-7%44.4%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.8%
7-9%46.4%
5-7%44.4%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.0%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%44.3%
<5%1.5%
9%+6.1%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%44.5%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.4%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.5%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.5%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.5%
9%+7.5%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%43.8%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
<5%1.5%
9%+8.8%
7-9%46.6%
5-7%43.1%
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7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.7%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.6%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.7%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.2%
7-9%48.2%
5-7%37.1%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.2%
7-9%48.2%
5-7%37.1%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.2%
7-9%48.2%
5-7%37.1%
<5%0.6%
9%+14.2%
7-9%48.2%
5-7%37.0%
<5%0.6%
9%+14.2%
7-9%48.2%
5-7%37.0%
<5%0.6%
9%+14.6%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.6%
9%+14.6%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.6%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%0.5%
9%+14.6%
7-9%48.0%
5-7%36.9%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.4%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.4%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.3%
<5%2.2%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.2%
5-7%36.2%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.2%
5-7%36.3%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.3%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.3%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.3%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.2%
5-7%36.3%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.3%
<5%1.8%
9%+14.5%
7-9%47.4%
5-7%36.4%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.4%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.3%
5-7%36.4%
<5%1.8%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.7%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%1.7%
9%+14.4%
7-9%47.1%
5-7%36.7%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%47.0%
5-7%36.6%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%47.0%
5-7%36.6%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%47.0%
5-7%36.6%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.2%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.0%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%36.9%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%2.1%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.7%
5-7%36.9%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%
<5%1.9%
9%+14.3%
7-9%46.8%
5-7%37.0%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

This market resolves according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Left Party (V) in the Riksdag election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket.

The vote share is defined as the number of valid votes won by the party divided by the total number of valid votes in the election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Left Party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the Left Party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the successor party's vote percentage will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it resolves solely on the official results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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