CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h <82% 17.9 ▼ 13.9 82-84% 50.9 ▲ 13.7 M 11.0 ▼ 4.6 S 87.6 ▲ 3.8 KD 11.3 ▼ 3.0
S

Swedish Social Democratic Party

In the general election on 11 September 2022, the Swedish Social Democratic Party won 30.3% of the vote and 107 of the Riksdag's 349 seats.

Last updated:

Largest party in the 2026 general election
100.0%
Consensus of 2 sources ▲ 1.0 in 24h

About the party

Abbreviation
S
Party colour
#ED1B34
Founded
Party leader
Magdalena Andersson

Open markets

MarketProbabilityShare as barSource
Largest party in the 2026 general election 100.0% Consensus of 2 sources
Second-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.1% Consensus of 2 sources
Third-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.2% Consensus of 2 sources
Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election 0.7% Consensus of 2 sources
Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.0% Polymarket
Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election 0.0% Polymarket
Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election 0.9% Kalshi

Last observed:

Candidates

Analysis

1 post
The Social Democrats and the largest-party market's de-vig 16 Aug

About the odds

The consensus figure is a volume-weighted average of de-vigged odds from the sources pricing this outcome. The poll average is never included.