CANDIDATECASINO General election 2026
Movers 24h Over 100.0 - 0.0 Under 0.1 ▲ 0.1

V over/under 7% in the 2026 Riksdag election

Polymarket currently gives a 100.0% chance that the Left Party will win at least 7 percent of the valid votes, based on price data from 15 September 2026.

Last updated:

Leading outcome
100.0%
Over - 0.0 in 24h

Odds

Outcome Probability Odds Spread Spread (pts)
Over Probability 100.0% Odds 1.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket100.0%100.0%
Under Probability 0.1% Odds 2000.00 Spread Spread (pts)
Sources1 — Polymarket only
PlatformImpliedDe-viggedObserved
Polymarket0.1%0.1%

Fresh — Odds updated: Methodology

Odds over time

The price over time, one line per outcome.

Odds over time100%50%0%10 Sep15 Sep100%
Under — — 0.1%
OutcomeObservedProbability
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over99.9%
Under0.1%
Over99.9%
Under0.1%
Over99.9%
Under0.1%
Over99.9%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under0.1%
Over100.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.1%
Under5.0%
Over95.1%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under5.0%
Over95.0%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under1.5%
Over98.6%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under22.0%
Over78.0%
Under22.0%
Over78.0%
Under22.0%
Over78.0%
Under22.0%
Over78.0%
Under22.0%
Over78.0%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under5.5%
Over94.5%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under51.5%
Over48.5%
Under50.5%
Over49.5%
Under50.5%
Over49.5%
Under51.5%
Over48.5%
Under51.5%
Over48.5%
Under51.5%
Over48.5%
Under25.0%
Over75.0%
Under25.0%
Over75.0%
Under25.5%
Over74.5%
Under25.5%
Over74.5%
Under26.0%
Over74.0%
Under26.0%
Over74.0%
Under26.0%
Over74.0%
Under41.0%
Over59.0%
Under41.0%
Over59.0%
Under41.0%
Over59.0%
Under42.5%
Over57.5%
Under42.5%
Over57.5%
Under42.5%
Over57.5%
Under42.5%
Over57.5%
Under43.0%
Over57.0%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under45.0%
Over55.0%
Under45.0%
Over55.0%
Under45.0%
Over55.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under48.5%
Over51.5%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under50.0%
Over50.0%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under48.5%
Over51.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.0%
Over53.0%
Under43.0%
Over57.0%
Under43.0%
Over57.0%
Under43.0%
Over57.0%
Under43.0%
Over57.0%
Under46.5%
Over53.5%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under46.0%
Over54.0%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under47.5%
Over52.5%
Under48.0%
Over52.0%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under50.5%
Over49.5%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under48.5%
Over51.5%
Under48.5%
Over51.5%
Under49.0%
Over51.0%
Under51.0%
Over49.0%
Under49.5%
Over50.5%
Under39.5%
Over60.5%
Under36.5%
Over63.5%
Under35.0%
Over65.0%
Under35.0%
Over65.0%
Under34.5%
Over65.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under31.5%
Over68.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under32.5%
Over67.5%
Under33.5%
Over66.5%
Under32.0%
Over68.0%
Under33.5%
Over66.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under33.5%
Over66.5%
Under33.0%
Over67.0%
Under36.0%
Over64.0%
Under36.0%
Over64.0%
Under36.0%
Over64.0%

Other markets in this election

About the odds

How this question resolves

The market resolves "Over" if the Left Party (V) wins at least 7 percent of all valid votes in the election, and "Under" if the party wins less than 7 percent.

Resolution is based solely on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes for the party divided by the total number of valid votes in the election.

Only vote percentages that the Swedish Election Authority attributes to the Left Party count. Percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations do not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the Left Party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the successor party's percentage counts instead.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, this market resolves 50-50.

Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves solely on the official results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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