SD över eller under 19 procent i riksdagsvalet 2026
Prediktionsmarknaden Polymarket gav utfallet "Over" en sannolikhet på 100,0 procent den 15 september 2026, det vill säga att SD får minst 19 procent av rösterna i riksdagsvalet den 13 september 2026.
Senast uppdaterad: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Odds
Utfall
Sannolikhet
Odds
Spridning
Spridning (p)
Under
Sannolikhet 100.0%Odds 1.00Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 100.0% 100.0% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Over
Sannolikhet 0.1%Odds 2000.00Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 0.1% 0.1% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — Metodik
Odds över tid
Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.
Odds över tid 100% 50% 0% 10 sep 15 sep 100%
Under — 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — 100.0%
Utfall Observerad Sannolikhet
Under 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 99.9% Over 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 99.7% Over 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 99.7% Over 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 99.6% Over 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 0.4% Under 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 97.2% Over 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 2.8% Under 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 97.3% Over 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 2.7% Under 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 97.2% Over 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 2.8% Under 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 97.2% Over 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 2.8% Under 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 97.2% Over 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 2.9% Under 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 97.4% Over 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 2.6% Under 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 98.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 2.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 98.4% Over 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 1.7% Under 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 94.8% Over 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 5.1% Under 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 94.8% Over 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 5.1% Under 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 94.8% Over 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 5.2% Under 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 95.7% Over 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 4.3% Under 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 95.4% Over 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 4.6% Under 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 96.1% Over 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 3.9% Under 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 96.2% Over 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 3.8% Under 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 95.5% Over 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 4.4% Under 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 95.3% Over 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 4.7% Under 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 58.8% Over 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 41.2% Under 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 59.0% Over 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 41.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 96.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 3.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 55.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 44.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 55.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 44.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 55.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 44.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 55.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 45.0% Under 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 30.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 70.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 30.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 69.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 30.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 69.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 30.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 69.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 30.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 70.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 30.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 70.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 30.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 70.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 39.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 60.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 39.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 60.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 39.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 60.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 39.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 60.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 41.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 58.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 42.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 58.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 42.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 57.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 45.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 54.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 45.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 54.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 45.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 54.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 45.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 54.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 46.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 54.0% Under 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 45.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 54.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 52.0% Over 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 48.0% Under 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 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36.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 36.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 63.5% Under 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 64.0% Under 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 36.0% Over 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 64.0%
Andra marknader i det här valet
Vad frågan avgörs av
Marknaden avgörs av andelen giltiga röster som Sverigedemokraterna (SD) får i riksdagsvalet den 13 september 2026.
Utfallet blir "Over" om SD får minst 19 procent av giltiga röster, och "Under" om SD får mindre än 19 procent.
Endast röstandelar som Valmyndigheten tillskriver SD räknas. Röstandelar som tillskrivs andra partier eller beteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamverkan, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande gruppbildningar i riksdagen.
Om SD formellt går samman med ett efterföljarparti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas istället efterföljarpartiets röstandel.
Om resultatet inte är definitivt känt senast 31 december 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden 50-50.
Marknaden avgörs utifrån en samlad bild av trovärdig rapportering. Vid oklarheter avgörs den istället enbart utifrån de officiella resultaten som rapporteras av Valmyndigheten (val.se).