CANDIDATECASINO Riksdag 2026
Rörelser 24 h 27-30% 99.8 ▲ 0.6 33%+ 0.1 - 0.0 30-33% 0.1 ▼ 0.4 <27% 0.1 ▼ 0.2
Utvald marknad

Tidömajoritet i riksdagsvalet 2026

Ja 3.3Nej 96.7
J Ja30.30 · 3.3%
N Nej1.03 · 96.7%

S:s röstandel i riksdagsvalet 2026

Polymarket prissätter det mest sannolika intervallet till 99,8 procent, per 15 september 2026.

Senast uppdaterad:

Ledande utfall
99.8%
27-30% ▲ 0.6 på 24 h

Odds

Utfall Sannolikhet Odds Spridning Spridning (p)
27-30% Sannolikhet 99.8% Odds 1.00 Spridning — Spridning (p) — ▾
Källor1 — endast Polymarket
PlattformImplicitAvvignadObserverad
Polymarket99.6%99.8%
33%+ Sannolikhet 0.1% Odds 1994.00 Spridning — Spridning (p) — ▾
Källor1 — endast Polymarket
PlattformImplicitAvvignadObserverad
Polymarket0.1%0.1%
30-33% Sannolikhet 0.1% Odds 1994.00 Spridning — Spridning (p) — ▾
Källor1 — endast Polymarket
PlattformImplicitAvvignadObserverad
Polymarket0.1%0.1%
<27% Sannolikhet 0.1% Odds 1994.00 Spridning — Spridning (p) — ▾
Källor1 — endast Polymarket
PlattformImplicitAvvignadObserverad
Polymarket0.1%0.1%

Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: — Metodik

Odds över tid

Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.

Odds över tid100%50%0%10 sep15 sep100%33%+30-33%<27%
<27% — — 0.1%
UtfallObserveradSannolikhet
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.1%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%99.8%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.0%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.4%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.6%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.6%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.6%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.2%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.2%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.3%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.2%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.5%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.4%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.4%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.4%
27-30%99.1%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.8%
27-30%98.5%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.9%
27-30%98.4%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.9%
27-30%98.4%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.0%
27-30%98.3%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.1%
27-30%98.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.1%
27-30%98.2%
<27%0.6%
33%+0.0%
30-33%1.1%
27-30%98.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.3%
27-30%98.0%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.3%
27-30%98.0%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.0%
30-33%1.6%
27-30%97.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.0%
30-33%1.6%
27-30%97.6%
<27%0.8%
33%+0.1%
30-33%1.9%
27-30%97.3%
<27%0.8%
33%+0.3%
30-33%2.8%
27-30%96.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%2.9%
27-30%96.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%2.9%
27-30%96.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.0%
27-30%96.1%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.1%
27-30%96.0%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.1%
27-30%96.0%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.2%
27-30%95.9%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.5%
27-30%95.6%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%4.3%
27-30%94.8%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.9%
27-30%95.2%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.8%
27-30%95.3%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.6%
27-30%95.5%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%4.1%
27-30%95.0%
<27%0.6%
33%+0.2%
30-33%4.5%
27-30%94.7%
<27%0.6%
33%+0.2%
30-33%3.9%
27-30%95.3%
<27%0.6%
33%+0.2%
30-33%4.0%
27-30%95.1%
<27%0.7%
33%+0.2%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.4%
<27%0.6%
33%+0.2%
30-33%0.7%
27-30%98.5%
<27%1.1%
33%+0.2%
30-33%1.9%
27-30%96.8%
<27%2.8%
33%+0.2%
30-33%2.0%
27-30%95.0%
<27%3.5%
33%+0.0%
30-33%0.0%
27-30%96.4%
<27%6.0%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.1%
27-30%93.9%
<27%8.5%
33%+0.1%
30-33%0.9%
27-30%90.5%
<27%9.9%
33%+0.2%
30-33%1.0%
27-30%88.9%
<27%10.9%
33%+0.3%
30-33%1.5%
27-30%87.3%
<27%9.8%
33%+0.4%
30-33%1.7%
27-30%88.0%
<27%8.8%
33%+0.6%
30-33%2.6%
27-30%88.0%
<27%8.4%
33%+1.0%
30-33%3.0%
27-30%87.6%
<27%8.1%
33%+1.3%
30-33%3.0%
27-30%87.6%
<27%9.2%
33%+1.3%
30-33%2.9%
27-30%86.6%
<27%6.2%
33%+2.6%
30-33%4.8%
27-30%86.4%
<27%10.9%
33%+3.7%
30-33%7.4%
27-30%78.0%
<27%18.7%
33%+3.9%
30-33%11.2%
27-30%66.3%
<27%26.5%
33%+4.7%
30-33%11.9%
27-30%57.0%
<27%25.7%
33%+0.8%
30-33%12.6%
27-30%61.0%
<27%25.9%
33%+0.9%
30-33%8.1%
27-30%65.1%
<27%26.2%
33%+0.9%
30-33%11.3%
27-30%61.6%
<27%26.2%
33%+1.0%
30-33%11.3%
27-30%61.5%
<27%25.9%
33%+1.9%
30-33%12.9%
27-30%59.3%
<27%25.3%
33%+6.5%
30-33%21.9%
27-30%46.3%
<27%25.9%
33%+4.2%
30-33%22.5%
27-30%47.4%
<27%25.9%
33%+4.2%
30-33%22.4%
27-30%47.4%
<27%26.1%
33%+4.3%
30-33%22.5%
27-30%47.1%
<27%26.0%
33%+7.0%
30-33%22.5%
27-30%44.5%
<27%26.3%
33%+4.5%
30-33%22.7%
27-30%46.5%
<27%26.3%
33%+4.5%
30-33%22.7%
27-30%46.5%
<27%25.8%
33%+7.1%
30-33%22.4%
27-30%44.7%
<27%24.2%
33%+4.7%
30-33%22.7%
27-30%48.4%
<27%22.7%
33%+5.4%
30-33%21.7%
27-30%50.2%
<27%24.0%
33%+8.1%
30-33%23.0%
27-30%44.9%
<27%24.8%
33%+5.1%
30-33%23.7%
27-30%46.4%
<27%28.7%
33%+5.8%
30-33%27.4%
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33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.3%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.9%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.4%
33%+3.5%
30-33%11.3%
27-30%48.7%
<27%36.4%
33%+3.5%
30-33%11.3%
27-30%48.7%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.8%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.4%
27-30%49.2%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%37.1%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%37.1%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.9%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%48.7%
<27%36.9%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%48.7%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%36.6%
33%+3.6%
30-33%10.8%
27-30%49.0%
<27%37.5%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.3%
27-30%48.7%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%37.8%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.2%
27-30%48.5%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%38.2%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%49.0%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%38.0%
33%+3.5%
30-33%9.7%
27-30%48.7%
<27%37.4%
33%+3.5%
30-33%11.1%
27-30%48.0%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.9%
33%+3.6%
30-33%9.3%
27-30%48.2%
<27%38.3%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.7%
27-30%47.5%
<27%38.3%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.7%
27-30%47.5%
<27%38.3%
33%+3.5%
30-33%10.7%
27-30%47.5%

Andra marknader i det här valet

Om oddsen

Vad frågan avgörs av

Marknaden avgörs av andelen giltiga röster som Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S) får i riksdagsvalet den 13 september 2026.

Om det redovisade värdet hamnar exakt mitt emellan två intervall avgörs marknaden till det högre intervallet.

Röstandelen definieras som antalet giltiga röster för partiet delat med det totala antalet giltiga röster i valet.

Endast röstandelar som Valmyndigheten hänför till partiet räknas. Röstandelar som hänförs till andra partier eller valbeteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamverkan, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande gruppbildningar i riksdagen.

Om partiet formellt går samman med ett efterföljarparti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas efterföljarpartiets röstandel för avgörandet.

Om valresultatet inte är definitivt känt senast 31 december 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden till det lägsta intervallet.

Marknaden avgörs utifrån samstämmig, trovärdig rapportering. Vid oklarhet avgörs den enbart utifrån de officiella resultaten som redovisas av Valmyndigheten (val.se).

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candidatecasino.com/sv/sverige/2026/riksdagsval/s-rostandel/