KD Over/Under 6% i riksdagsvalet 2026
Polymarket ger KD minst 6% av rösterna en sannolikhet på 94,0 procent per 15 september 2026.
Senast uppdaterad: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Odds
Utfall
Sannolikhet
Odds
Spridning
Spridning (p)
Over
Sannolikhet 94.0%Odds 1.06Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 94.0% 94.0% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Under
Sannolikhet 6.0%Odds 16.67Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 6.0% 6.0% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — Metodik
Odds över tid
Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.
Odds över tid 100% 50% 0% 10 sep 15 sep 94%
Under — 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — 6.0%
Utfall Observerad Sannolikhet
Under 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 94.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 6.6% Over 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 6.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 93.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 6.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 93.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 6.6% Over 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 6.1% Over 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 93.9% Under 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 6.1% Over 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 93.9% Under 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 5.5% Over 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 94.5% Under 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 5.6% Over 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 5.6% Over 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 94.4% Under 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 6.2% Over 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 93.8% Under 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 6.1% Over 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 93.9% Under 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 5.7% Over 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 94.3% Under 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 5.5% Over 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 94.5% Under 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 94.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 5.8% Over 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 6.1% Over 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 93.9% Under 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 6.2% Over 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 93.8% Under 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 6.2% Over 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 93.8% Under 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 6.2% Over 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 93.8% Under 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 6.2% Over 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 93.8% Under 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 3.2% Over 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 96.8% Under 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 3.7% Over 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 96.3% Under 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 3.8% Over 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 96.2% Under 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 3.5% Over 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 96.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 3.6% Over 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 96.4% Under 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 6.4% Over 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 93.6% Under 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 6.6% Over 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 6.3% Over 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 93.7% Under 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 94.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 94.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 6.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 94.0% Under 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 5.9% Over 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 94.2% Under 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 6.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 93.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 7.8% Over 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 92.2% Under 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 8.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 92.0% Under 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 8.2% Over 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 91.8% Under 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 5.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 94.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 7.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 92.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 11.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 89.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 11.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 88.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 11.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 89.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 11.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 89.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 10.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 90.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 24.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 75.5% Under 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 27.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 73.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 27.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 73.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 27.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 73.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 24.5% Over 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 75.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 32.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 67.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 32.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 67.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 32.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 67.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 28.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 72.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 28.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 71.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 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Andra marknader i det här valet
Vad frågan avgörs av
Marknaden avgörs av hur stor andel av de giltiga rösterna Kristdemokraterna (KD) får i riksdagsvalet den 13 september 2026.
Marknaden avgörs som "Over" om KD får minst 6% av de giltiga rösterna, och som "Under" om KD får mindre än 6%.
Andelen beräknas som antalet giltiga röster på KD delat med det totala antalet giltiga röster i valet.
Endast röstandelar som Valmyndigheten tillskriver KD räknas. Röstandelar som tillskrivs andra partier eller valbeteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamverkan, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande riksdagsgruppbildningar.
Om KD formellt går samman med ett efterföljarparti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas efterföljarpartiets röstandel istället.
Om resultatet av valet inte är definitivt fastställt senast December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden 50-50.
Marknaden avgörs utifrån en samlad bild av trovärdig rapportering. Vid oklarhet avgörs den istället enbart utifrån de officiella resultaten från Valmyndigheten (val.se).