S över/under 31% i riksdagsvalet 2026
Polymarket ger en sannolikhet på 100,0 procent för att Socialdemokraterna (S) får minst 31% av rösterna i riksdagsvalet, enligt en observation från 15 september 2026.
Senast uppdaterad: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Odds
Utfall
Sannolikhet
Odds
Spridning
Spridning (p)
Under
Sannolikhet 100.0%Odds 1.00Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 100.0% 100.0% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Over
Sannolikhet 0.1%Odds 2000.00Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 0.1% 0.1% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — Metodik
Odds över tid
Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.
Odds över tid 100% 50% 0% 10 sep 15 sep 100%
Under — 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — 100.0%
Utfall Observerad Sannolikhet
Under 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 100.0% Over 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 0.1% Under 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 96.7% Over 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 3.3% Under 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 96.6% Over 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 3.4% Under 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 96.7% Over 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 3.3% Under 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 96.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 3.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 76.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 23.5% Under 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 79.0% Over 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 21.0% Under 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 77.0% Over 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 23.0% Under 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 77.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 23.0% Under 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 75.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 24.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 63.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 36.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 63.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 36.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 62.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 38.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 59.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 40.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 61.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 39.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 60.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 40.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 60.5% Over 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 39.5% Under 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 57.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 43.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 57.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 43.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 57.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 43.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 54.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 45.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 54.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 45.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 54.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 45.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 54.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 45.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 53.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 46.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 53.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 46.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 53.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 46.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 51.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 48.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 56.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 44.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 56.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 44.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 56.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 43.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 58.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 42.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 56.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 43.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 52.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 47.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 52.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 47.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 52.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 47.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 51.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 49.0% Under 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 50.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 49.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 50.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 49.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 47.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 52.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 47.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 52.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 47.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 52.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 47.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 52.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 47.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 52.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 48.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 52.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 46.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 53.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 80.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 19.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 80.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 19.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 87.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 12.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 87.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 13.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 87.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 13.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 86.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 13.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 86.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 13.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 85.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 14.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 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2026-09-11 18:52 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-11 18:52 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-11 18:37 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 18:37 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 18:22 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-11 18:22 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-11 18:07 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 18:07 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:52 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:52 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:37 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:37 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:22 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:22 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:07 UTC 83.5% Over 2026-09-11 17:07 UTC 16.5% Under 2026-09-11 16:52 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:52 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:37 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:37 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:22 UTC 83.5% Over 2026-09-11 16:22 UTC 16.5% Under 2026-09-11 16:07 UTC 83.5% Over 2026-09-11 16:07 UTC 16.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:52 UTC 83.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:52 UTC 16.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:37 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:37 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:22 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:22 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:07 UTC 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2026-09-11 07:22 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 07:22 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 07:07 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 07:07 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 80.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 20.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-11 03:37 UTC 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23:52 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 23:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 23:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 23:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 23:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 84.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 16.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 81.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 19.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 80.5% Over 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 19.5% Under 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 79.5% Over 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 20.5% Under 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 80.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 20.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 18.5% Under 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 80.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 20.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 82.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 18.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 82.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 17.5% Under 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 83.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 17.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 79.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 21.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 79.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 20.5% Under 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 81.5% Over 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 18.5%
Andra marknader i det här valet
Vad frågan avgörs av
Marknaden avgörs "Over" om Socialdemokraterna (S) får minst 31% av samtliga giltiga röster i riksdagsvalet.
Marknaden avgörs "Under" om Socialdemokraterna (S) får mindre än 31% av samtliga giltiga röster i riksdagsvalet.
Avgörandet baseras enbart på röstandelen för det angivna partiet, definierad som antalet giltiga röster för partiet delat med det totala antalet giltiga röster i valet.
Endast röstandelar som Valmyndigheten tillskriver det angivna partiet räknas. Röstandelar som tillskrivs andra partier eller valbeteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamarbete, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande gruppbildningar i riksdagen.
Om partiet formellt går samman med ett efterföljande parti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas det efterföljande partiets röstandel för avgörandet.
Om valresultatet inte är definitivt känt senast 31 december 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden 50-50.
Avgörandet baseras på valresultatet enligt en samstämmig, trovärdig rapportering. Vid oklarhet avgörs marknaden enbart utifrån de officiella resultaten från svenska staten, specifikt Valmyndigheten (https://www.val.se/).