M över/under 17% i riksdagsvalet 2026
Polymarket satte sannolikheten till 99,6 procent den 15 september 2026 för att Moderaterna (M) får minst 17 procent av rösterna i riksdagsvalet 2026.
Senast uppdaterad: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Odds
Utfall
Sannolikhet
Odds
Spridning
Spridning (p)
Over
Sannolikhet 99.6%Odds 1.00Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 99.6% 99.6% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Under
Sannolikhet 0.4%Odds 222.22Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 0.4% 0.4% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — Metodik
Odds över tid
Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.
Odds över tid 100% 50% 0% 10 sep 15 sep 100%
Under — 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — 0.4%
Utfall Observerad Sannolikhet
Under 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 99.7% Under 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 0.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 99.6% Under 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 0.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 99.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 5.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 95.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 43.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 56.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 43.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 56.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 48.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 51.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 48.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 51.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 48.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 51.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 48.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 51.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 49.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 50.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 27.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 72.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 41.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 59.0% Under 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 61.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 38.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 38.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 62.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-13 01:07 UTC 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2026-09-11 18:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-11 18:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-11 18:07 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-11 18:07 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 17:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 17:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 16:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 16:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 15:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 15:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 15:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 14:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 14:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 14:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 14:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 14:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 14:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 14:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 14:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 13:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 13:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 13:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 13:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 13:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 13:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 13:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 13:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 12:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 12:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 12:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 12:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 12:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 12:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 12:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 12:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 11:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 11:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 11:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 11:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 11:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 11:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 11:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 11:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 10:52 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 10:52 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 10:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 10:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 10:22 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 10:22 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 10:07 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-11 10:07 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-11 09:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 09:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-11 09:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 09:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 09:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 09:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 09:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 09:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 08:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 08:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 08:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 08:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 08:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 08:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 08:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 08:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 07:52 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-11 07:52 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-11 07:37 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-11 07:37 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-11 07:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 07:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 07:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 07:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 02:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 02:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 02:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 02:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 02:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 02:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 02:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 02:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 01:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 01:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 01:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 01:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 01:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 01:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 01:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 01:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 00:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 00:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 00:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 00:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 00:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-11 00:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-11 00:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-11 00:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 23:52 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 23:52 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 23:37 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 23:37 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 23:22 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 23:22 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 31.5% Over 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 68.5% Under 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 32.5% Over 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 67.5% Under 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 35.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 64.5% Under 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 34.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 66.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 65.0% Under 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 35.0% Over 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 65.0%
Andra marknader i det här valet
Vad frågan avgörs av
Marknaden avgörs till "Over" om Moderaterna (M) får minst 17 procent av samtliga giltiga röster i det aktuella valet.
Marknaden avgörs till "Under" om Moderaterna (M) får mindre än 17 procent av samtliga giltiga röster i det aktuella valet.
Avgörandet baseras enbart på den andel giltiga röster som det angivna partiet får, definierad som antalet giltiga röster för partiet delat med det totala antalet giltiga röster i det aktuella valet.
Endast andelar giltiga röster som Valmyndigheten hänför till det ovannämnda partiet räknas. Röstandelar som hänförs till andra partier eller valbeteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamverkan, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande överenskommelser om riksdagsgrupper. Om det angivna partiet formellt går samman med ett efterföljarparti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas efterföljarpartiets andel giltiga röster för avgörandet.
Om resultatet av valet inte är definitivt känt senast 31 december 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden 50-50.
Marknaden avgörs utifrån resultatet av valet så som det framgår av en samstämmig bild i trovärdig rapportering. Vid oklarhet avgörs marknaden enbart utifrån de officiella resultaten som redovisas av svenska staten, närmare bestämt Valmyndigheten (https://www.val.se/).