MP över/under 7% i riksdagsvalet 2026
Polymarket prisar sannolikheten att Miljöpartiet (MP) får minst 7 % av rösterna till 99,5 procent den 15 september 2026.
Senast uppdaterad: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Odds
Utfall
Sannolikhet
Odds
Spridning
Spridning (p)
Under
Sannolikhet 99.5%Odds 1.01Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 99.5% 99.5% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Over
Sannolikhet 0.5%Odds 181.82Spridning —Spridning (p) —▾
Källor 1 — endast Polymarket
Plattform Implicit Avvignad Observerad
Polymarket 0.5% 0.5% 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC
Färsk — Oddsen uppdaterade: 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — Metodik
Odds över tid
Priset över tid, en linje per utfall.
Odds över tid 100% 50% 0% 10 sep 15 sep 99%
Under — 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC — 99.5%
Utfall Observerad Sannolikhet
Under 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 14:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 14:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 14:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 14:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 13:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 13:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 13:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 13:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 12:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 12:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 12:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 11:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 11:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 11:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 11:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 10:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 10:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 10:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 10:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 09:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 09:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 09:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 09:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 08:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 08:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 08:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 08:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 07:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 07:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 07:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 07:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 06:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 06:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 06:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 06:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 05:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 05:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 05:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 05:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 04:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 04:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 04:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 04:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 03:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 03:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 03:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 03:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 02:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 01:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 01:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 01:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 01:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-15 00:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 23:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 23:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 23:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 22:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 22:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 22:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 22:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 21:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 21:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 21:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 20:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 20:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 20:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 20:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 19:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 19:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 19:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 19:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 18:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 18:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 18:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 18:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 17:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 16:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 16:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 16:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 16:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 15:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 15:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 15:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 15:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 14:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 14:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 14:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 14:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 13:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 13:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 13:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 12:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 12:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 12:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 12:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 11:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:52 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:37 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:22 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 99.5% Over 2026-09-14 10:07 UTC 0.5% Under 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 09:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 08:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 08:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 08:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 08:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 07:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 06:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 06:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 06:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 06:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 05:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 05:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 04:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 04:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 04:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 04:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 03:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 03:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 03:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 03:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 02:52 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 02:37 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 02:22 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 99.4% Over 2026-09-14 02:07 UTC 0.6% Under 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 99.1% Over 2026-09-14 01:52 UTC 0.9% Under 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 98.4% Over 2026-09-14 01:37 UTC 1.6% Under 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 97.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:22 UTC 2.5% Under 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 95.5% Over 2026-09-14 01:07 UTC 4.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 79.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:52 UTC 20.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 76.0% Over 2026-09-14 00:37 UTC 24.0% Under 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 65.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:22 UTC 34.5% Under 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 59.5% Over 2026-09-14 00:07 UTC 40.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:52 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:37 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:22 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 23:07 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:52 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:37 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:22 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 22:07 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:52 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:37 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:22 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 21:07 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 58.5% Over 2026-09-13 20:52 UTC 41.5% Under 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 58.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:37 UTC 42.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 58.0% Over 2026-09-13 20:22 UTC 42.0% Under 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 57.5% Over 2026-09-13 20:07 UTC 42.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 57.0% Over 2026-09-13 19:52 UTC 43.0% Under 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 57.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:37 UTC 42.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 51.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:22 UTC 48.5% Under 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 51.5% Over 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC 48.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 51.5% Over 2026-09-13 18:52 UTC 48.5% Under 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 52.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:37 UTC 48.0% Under 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 52.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:22 UTC 48.0% Under 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 53.0% Over 2026-09-13 18:07 UTC 47.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 53.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:52 UTC 47.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 73.0% Over 2026-09-13 17:37 UTC 27.0% Under 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 17:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 16:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 15:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 65.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:37 UTC 34.5% Under 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 14:22 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 14:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 13:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 12:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 11:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 10:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:22 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 09:07 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:52 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 64.5% Over 2026-09-13 08:37 UTC 35.5% Under 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:22 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 08:07 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:37 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:22 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 07:07 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 65.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:37 UTC 34.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 65.5% Over 2026-09-13 06:22 UTC 34.5% Under 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 06:07 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:37 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:22 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 05:07 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:37 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:22 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 04:07 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 65.0% Over 2026-09-13 03:52 UTC 35.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 03:37 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 03:22 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 03:07 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:52 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:37 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:22 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 02:07 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 01:52 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 01:37 UTC 34.0% Under 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 66.0% Over 2026-09-13 01:22 UTC 34.0% Under 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07:07 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:52 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:37 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:22 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 06:07 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:52 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:37 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:22 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 05:07 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:52 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:37 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:22 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 04:07 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:52 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:37 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:37 UTC 69.0% Under 2026-09-11 03:22 UTC 31.0% Over 2026-09-11 03:22 UTC 69.0% Under 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29.0% Over 2026-09-10 23:22 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 23:07 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:52 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:37 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:22 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 22:07 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:52 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:37 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:22 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 29.0% Over 2026-09-10 21:07 UTC 71.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 30.5% Over 2026-09-10 20:52 UTC 69.5% Under 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:37 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 30.5% Over 2026-09-10 20:07 UTC 69.5% Under 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 19:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 18:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 17:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-10 16:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 16:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:37 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:22 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 15:07 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 32.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:52 UTC 68.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 33.5% Over 2026-09-10 14:37 UTC 66.5% Under 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:22 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 14:07 UTC 67.0% Under 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 33.0% Over 2026-09-10 13:52 UTC 67.0%
Andra marknader i det här valet
Vad frågan avgörs av
Marknaden avgörs av hur stor andel av de giltiga rösterna Miljöpartiet (MP) får i riksdagsvalet den 13 september 2026.
"Over" inträffar om MP får minst 7 % av de giltiga rösterna; "Under" inträffar om andelen understiger 7 %.
Röstandelen beräknas som antalet giltiga röster för MP delat med det totala antalet giltiga röster i valet.
Endast röster som Valmyndigheten tillskriver MP räknas. Röster som tillskrivs andra partier eller valbeteckningar räknas inte, oavsett valsamverkan, stöduttalanden, koalitionsavtal eller efterföljande gruppbildningar i riksdagen.
Om MP formellt går samman med ett efterföljarparti före valet och inte ställer upp separat, räknas efterföljarpartiets röstandel istället.
Om valresultatet inte är definitivt känt senast 31 december 2026, 11:59 PM ET, avgörs marknaden 50/50.
Marknaden avgörs utifrån en samstämmig, trovärdig rapportering av resultatet. Vid oklarhet avgör istället de officiella resultaten från Valmyndigheten (val.se).