# Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson, born 29 December 1963, leads the Moderate Party and is priced at 11.0% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the general election on 13 September 2026, in the consensus of Polymarket and Kalshi on 15 September 2026.

Last updated: 2026-08-12


## About

- Party: [Moderate Party](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/parties/moderate-party/)

- Born: 1963-12-29




## Open markets

| Market | Probability | Source |
| --- | --- | --- |
| [Next prime minister after the 2026 election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/prime-minister-after-the-election/) | 11.0% | Consensus of 2 sources |

Last observed: 2026-09-15T15:22:06.170736+00:00



## Moderate Party's markets

| Market | Probability | Source |
| --- | --- | --- |
| [Largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/largest-party/) | 0.0% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [Second-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/second-largest-party/) | 99.2% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [Third-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/third-largest-party/) | 0.2% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [SD or M More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/sd-or-m-most-votes/) | 100.0% | Polymarket |
| [Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/fourth-largest-party/) | 0.5% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/fifth-largest-party/) | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| [Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/sixth-largest-party/) | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| [Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/seventh-largest-party/) | 1.7% | Kalshi |

Last observed: 2026-09-15T15:22:07.272644+00:00



## Other candidates

- [Magdalena Andersson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/magdalena-andersson/)
- [Jimmie Åkesson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/jimmie-akesson/)
- [Anna-Karin Hatt](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/anna-karin-hatt/)
- [Nooshi Dadgostar](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/nooshi-dadgostar/)
- [Ebba Busch](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/ebba-busch/)
- [Simona Mohamsson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/simona-mohamsson/)
- [Amanda Lind](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/amanda-lind/)
- [Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/elisabeth-thand-ringqvist/)
- [Daniel Helldén](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/daniel-hellden/)




- [About](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/about/)
- [Privacy](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/privacy/)
- [Methodology](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/methodology/)
- [Svenska](https://candidatecasino.com/sv/sverige/kandidater/ulf-kristersson/)