# Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch, born 11 February 1987, leads the Christian Democrats and is priced at 0.6% to become Sweden's next prime minister after the general election on 13 September 2026, in the consensus of Polymarket and Kalshi on 15 September 2026.

Last updated: 2026-08-12


## About

- Party: [Christian Democrats](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/parties/christian-democrats/)

- Born: 1987-02-11




## Open markets

| Market | Probability | Source |
| --- | --- | --- |
| [Next prime minister after the 2026 election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/prime-minister-after-the-election/) | 0.6% | Consensus of 2 sources |

Last observed: 2026-09-15T15:22:06.170736+00:00



## Christian Democrats' markets

| Market | Probability | Source |
| --- | --- | --- |
| [Largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/largest-party/) | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| [Second-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/second-largest-party/) | 1.2% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [Third-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/third-largest-party/) | 0.3% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [V or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/v-or-kd-more-votes/) | 0.1% | Polymarket |
| [MP or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/mp-or-kd-more-votes/) | 61.5% | Polymarket |
| [C or KD More Votes in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/c-or-kd-more-votes/) | 0.2% | Polymarket |
| [Fourth-largest party in the 2026 general election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/fourth-largest-party/) | 0.6% | Consensus of 2 sources |
| [Fifth-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/fifth-largest-party/) | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| [Sixth-Largest Party in the 2026 Riksdag Election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/sixth-largest-party/) | 5.8% | Polymarket |
| [Seventh-largest party in the 2026 Riksdag election](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/2026/general-election/seventh-largest-party/) | 11.3% | Kalshi |

Last observed: 2026-09-15T15:22:07.272644+00:00



## Other candidates

- [Magdalena Andersson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/magdalena-andersson/)
- [Ulf Kristersson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/ulf-kristersson/)
- [Jimmie Åkesson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/jimmie-akesson/)
- [Anna-Karin Hatt](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/anna-karin-hatt/)
- [Nooshi Dadgostar](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/nooshi-dadgostar/)
- [Simona Mohamsson](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/simona-mohamsson/)
- [Amanda Lind](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/amanda-lind/)
- [Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/elisabeth-thand-ringqvist/)
- [Daniel Helldén](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/candidates/daniel-hellden/)




- [About](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/about/)
- [Privacy](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/privacy/)
- [Methodology](https://candidatecasino.com/en/info/methodology/)
- [Svenska](https://candidatecasino.com/sv/sverige/kandidater/ebba-busch/)