# Analysis

Explanations of what the odds and polls on candidatecasino.com actually show, and how we calculate them — newest posts first.

Last updated: 2026-08-25

## Analysis

- [Prime-minister odds fall to 77.6% - a new low](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/analysis/prime-minister-odds-fall-to-a-new-low/) — 2026-09-02
- [Why prediction markets can be used to predict real-world outcomes](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/analysis/why-prediction-markets-work/) — 2026-08-25
- [How odds turn into probability: implied probability, overround and de-vigging](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/analysis/implied-probability-overround-and-de-vigging/) — 2026-08-22
- [The Social Democrats and the largest-party market's de-vig](https://candidatecasino.com/en/sweden/analysis/how-de-vigging-changes-the-social-democrats-odds/) — 2026-08-16



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